2020

Geldzug: CHINA STOPPED COVID-19 BY STOPPING ITS ECONOMY… …BUT CAN IT RESTART ITS ECONOMY WITHOUT RESTARTING COVID-19?

23 March 2020 Chinese authorities have told the world that COVID-19 has been contained inside China. Rules about isolation are being loosened – even in Wuhan – as the number of new cases diminishes. The number of cases outside the core areas around Wuhan remain small, because the policies of quarantines and draconian travel restrictions have succeeded in preventing new cases in the rest of China. Big cities like Shanghai and Hong Kong have set excellent examples of how to handle a pandemic, because their leaders were smart enough to listen to the experts and to act decisively very early [...]

2020-03-24T11:56:37+00:00March 24th, 2020|

AUSTRALIAN MARKETS THE FEBRUARY 2020 REPORTING SEASON

25 March 2020 Twice a year we summarise the half-year and full-year results of the companies in the ALCE portfolio. The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic has overshadowed the results which were released in February 2020, because recessions are all but inevitable in Australia, the US, and Europe. For the companies reporting below, the impact of COVID-19 will not force radical changes in their business models; in other sectors such as airlines, hotels, cruise lines, and oil and gas exploration and production, many companies will not survive. For the companies in the ALCE portfolio, it is their operational performance which [...]

2020-03-24T11:39:08+00:00March 24th, 2020|

Arminius Capital hedge fund “ALPS” generates positive Chinese coronavirus returns

*LATEST* Arminius Capital hedge fund “ALPS” generates positive Chinese coronavirus returns The Arminius Capital ALPS Fund returned +1.11% for February 2020, building on its +1.38% of January. All major markets fell in February 2020: S&P500 -8.41%, Eurostoxx 600 -8.54%, NIKKEI -8.89%. To the end of February, the Arminius Capital ALPS Fund has returned +2.51% YTD 2020. (YTD 2020: S&P500 -8.56%, Eurostoxx 600 -9.66%, NIKKEI -10.63%). Although we are only 12 days into March, most global markets have suffered terribly, ending the 11 year bull market in equities. Both energy commodities and global equities have commenced their march into a bear [...]

2020-03-13T08:06:41+00:00March 13th, 2020|

Global equity futures today, across the last 5 years…

Global equity futures today, across the last 5 years... Japan: up 1% Australia: negative Europe: very negative US: up 35% 2020 and still cleaning up 2008's mess. "We're from the central bank and we're here to help". (Base:100) pic.twitter.com/A5vfhQBUHl — Arminius Capital (@ArminiusCapital) March 11, 2020  

2020-03-11T14:59:45+00:00March 11th, 2020|