Geldzug: LIES, DAMNED LIES, AND CHINESE STATISTICS

Geldzug: LIES, DAMNED LIES, AND CHINESE STATISTICS

23 Jan, 2017

After achieving GDP growth of a scientifically-precise 6.7% in each the first three quarters of 2016, China recorded 6.8% in the December quarter, making 6.7% for the calendar year. This outcome was squarely in the middle of the official target range of 6.5% to 7.0% for GDP growth under the Thirteenth Five Year Plan (covering 2016 to 2020).

There is a widely held opinion that Chinese statisticians work more magic than Harry Potter. Back in 2007, the current Premier Li Keqiang remarked that he avoided official statistics and preferred to look at underlying data such as electricity consumption and bank lending. Many researchers have also developed their own measures of the Chinese economy… [read more]

2017-01-23T17:52:52+00:00January 23rd, 2017|