Arminius

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So far Arminius has created 24 blog entries.

Geldzug: LEHMAN DAY

15 September 2018 15 September 2008 was the day that Lehman Brothers went bust. Lehman had long been one of the pillars of the US financial system, and management had been hoping for some sort of bail-out, but the US government wasn’t going to play. The Lehman insolvency sent the GFC into full panic mode. The GFC had been gathering pace since June 2007, when the US market for residential mortgage securities began to seize up as buyers became more and more suspicious of the value of these securities at a time when US house prices were falling... [read more]

2018-09-14T00:07:18+00:00September 14th, 2018|

Geldzug: CAUGHT IN THE CROSSFIRE

27 July 2018 President Trump’s latest tweets and interviews clearly indicate that he intends to go ahead with his trade wars. This is bad news for China, and even worse news for China’s regional suppliers like Australia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. But The Donald’s trade war ambitions have also expanded to include Canada, Mexico, and most European countries... [read more]

2018-07-26T15:58:45+00:00July 26th, 2018|

Geldzug: WHEN YOU ARE IN A HOLE, THE FIRST THING TO DO IS STOP DIGGING

18 June 2018 It is difficult to begin solving a problem until you admit that the problem exists. One of the reasons that the GFC was so severe in the US was that US regulators had spent the previous decade or two ignoring the danger signs while they proclaimed the virtues of the free market and asserted that bankers’ self-interest was the best assurance that banks would not misbehave... [read more]

2018-06-19T19:02:35+00:00June 19th, 2018|

Geldzug: IT’S NOT JUST THE PROFITS YOU MAKE – IT’S ALSO THE LOSSES YOU AVOID!

08 May 2018 The first principle of the ALPS Fund’s strategy is based on the fact that staying invested in equity markets over the long term produces very good returns – an average of 8.8% pa in the US since 1871, and slightly better in Australia over a shorter period. This is why, most of the time, the Fund owns shares in the Australian, US, and European markets... [read more]

2018-05-09T14:31:49+00:00May 9th, 2018|

Geldzug: SWEET HOME CHICAGO BOE

2 Mar, 18 There are very few stocks that most fund managers would buy and hold for 10 years – with the notable exception of everyone’s darling, Berkshire Hathaway, which famously never ever pays a dividend (with no complaints from the shareholders!)... [read more]

2018-03-06T18:53:40+00:00March 6th, 2018|

Geldzug: WILL TECH DISRUPTION DESTROY YOUR SHARE PORTFOLIO?

As we investors watch famous names in retailing crumble under the relentless assault of Amazon, we start to wonder, “Which sector will be the next to be disrupted?” Then we think, “Will the companies in my share portfolio survive all these changes?”... [read more]  

2018-04-18T12:14:25+00:00January 17th, 2018|

Geldzug: A GREENER CHINA IS A SLOWER CHINA

2 Oct, 17 Anyone who has been to Beijing in winter knows how bad the air pollution is there. The same is true of many Chinese cities because, from the 1980s on, governments at all levels were focused on maximizing economic growth and job creation. The future careers of local officials were heavily determined by the GDP growth rates which they managed to achieve in the areas under their supervision... [read more]

2018-04-20T22:26:56+00:00October 2nd, 2017|
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